Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Braden Shick

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.47	1.53
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (1.84)	1.53 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
39.2%

Braden Shick
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryuki Matsuda's form might have worsened.

Braden Shick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braden Shick's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryuki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braden Shick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ryuki Matsuda - Braden Shick Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 536. Shick is ranked ATP: 866.

Matsuda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shick is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
10.11.25	Hyeon Chung - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Max Basing - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Saki Tange	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Ryuki Matsuda - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Philip Sekulic - Ryuki Matsuda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL
- Braden Shick
ITF Tournaments
01.11.25	Moerani Bouzige - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Sho Katayama - Braden Shick	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Braden Shick - Ko Suzuki	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Braden Shick - Riku Takahata	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Ryotaro Matsumura - Braden Shick	Matsumura R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWW?

Ryuki Matsuda - Braden Shick: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide