Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Urayasu, hard - Final

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.42
	2.40	1.50
	2.66	1.49
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.59	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.56)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
36.1%

Naoki Nakagawa
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Ryuki Matsuda - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 764. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 782.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Matsuda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nakagawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Nakagawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Naoki Nakagawa - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.16%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Yanki Erel - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Ryuki Matsuda - Kuan-Shou Chen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 WWWWL
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryota Tanuma	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Yua Taka	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Max Sheldon - Naoki Nakagawa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.03.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0

Ryuki Matsuda - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide