Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Harmon (Guam), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2024, Monday


	Ryuki Matsuda		Nico Hornitschek

	1	2
	1.22	3.8
	1.22	4
	1.24	3.77	Watch
	1.21	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.32)	3.83 ↑ (3.04)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryuki Matsuda
75.8%

Nico Hornitschek
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryuki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryuki Matsuda's performance.

Nico Hornitschek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nico Hornitschek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryuki Matsuda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nico Hornitschek than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nico Hornitschek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Matsuda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Matsuda is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryuki Matsuda
ATP Challenger
21.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Kelsey Stevenson	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Amit Vales	1:2 ✺
02.05.24	Ryuki Matsuda - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWLL
- Nico Hornitschek
ITF Tournaments
29.05.24	Yuki Mochizuki - Nico Hornitschek	2:0 ✺
28.05.24	Cing-Yang Meng - Nico Hornitschek	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Yan Bai - Nico Hornitschek	2:0 ✺
23.05.24	Takuya Kumasaka - Nico Hornitschek	1:2 ✺
23.05.24	Stefan Vujic - Nico Hornitschek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLWW

Ryuki Matsuda - Nico Hornitschek: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide