Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pozoblanco - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday


	S D Prajwal Dev		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.94	1.4
	2.79	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	2.85	1.37	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

S D Prajwal Dev
32.4%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

S D Prajwal Dev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for S D Prajwal Dev than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with S D Prajwal Dev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

S D Prajwal Dev - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dev is ranked ATP: 653. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 575.

Dev is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gonzalez Fernandez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gonzalez Fernandez is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- S D Prajwal Dev
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - S D Prajwal Dev	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Marcelo Zormann - S D Prajwal Dev	0:2 ✺
05.07.26	Daniel Uta - S D Prajwal Dev	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Peter Makk	Canceled ✺
14.06.26	S D Prajwal Dev - Gabriel Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWW?W
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Matthew Summers - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Matisse Bobichon - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Joao Domingues	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Robin Catry - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW

S D Prajwal Dev - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide