Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Matisse Bobichon		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.36
	2.43	1.49
	2.74	1.47
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.56	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.17)	1.43 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matisse Bobichon
35.3%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matisse Bobichon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matisse Bobichon's form might have worsened.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mario Gonzalez Fernandez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matisse Bobichon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Matisse Bobichon - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bobichon is ranked ATP: 719. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 573.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bobichon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gonzalez Fernandez could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matisse Bobichon
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Matisse Bobichon - Oscar Andres Martinez De Freitas	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Mert Alkaya - Matisse Bobichon	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Matisse Bobichon - Andre Megrabian	2:0 ✺
25.05.26	Matisse Bobichon - Raghav Jaisinghani	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Yanki Erel - Matisse Bobichon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
18.06.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Joao Domingues	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Robin Catry - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	Alejandro Arcila - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Khololwam Montsi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

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