Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Saba Purtseladze		Louis Wessels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.54	2.28	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saba Purtseladze
58.5%

Louis Wessels
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saba Purtseladze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Louis Wessels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saba Purtseladze that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louis Wessels than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louis Wessels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 274. Wessels is ranked ATP: 602.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Wessels may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Saba Purtseladze - Gonzalo Martinez Onsalo	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Ivan Gakhov - Saba Purtseladze	Canceled
ITF Tournaments
18.02.26	Saba Purtseladze - Jacob Bradshaw	Purtseladze S. retired ✺
15.02.26	Saba Purtseladze - Romain Faucon	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Saba Purtseladze - Evgenii Tiurnev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 W??WW
- Louis Wessels
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Leonardo Borrelli - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.26	Louis Wessels - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	Wessels L. retired ✺
27.02.26	Miguel Tobon - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
26.02.26	Michael Antonius - Louis Wessels	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin - Louis Wessels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 W?LWW

Saba Purtseladze - Louis Wessels: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide