Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nanao, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday


	Sakura Hosogi		Hikaru Sato

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.66	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.45)	2.03 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakura Hosogi
54.6%

Hikaru Sato
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sakura Hosogi's form might have worsened.

Hikaru Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hikaru Sato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sakura Hosogi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Sato than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hikaru Sato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sakura Hosogi - Hikaru Sato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hosogi is ranked WTA: 346., and Sato is ranked WTA: 466..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hosogi has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Sakura Hosogi - Rinko Matsuda	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Sakura Hosogi - Natsuki Yoshimoto	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Ena Shibahara - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Haruka Kaji - Sakura Hosogi	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Sakura Hosogi - Lea Boskovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLLL
- Hikaru Sato
ITF Tournaments
23.09.26	Mutsumi Uemura - Hikaru Sato	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Kisa Yoshioka - Hikaru Sato	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Hikaru Sato - Natsuki Yoshimoto	1:2 ✺
12.08.26	Hikaru Sato - Julia Avdeeva	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Hikaru Sato - Indianna Spink	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Sakura Hosogi - Hikaru Sato	2:0

Sakura Hosogi - Hikaru Sato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide