Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kursumlijska Banja 4, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday


	Haruka Kaji		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.45	2.55
	1.56	2.46
	1.48	2.45	Watch
	1.54	2.4
	1.5	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.6)	2.47 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haruka Kaji
62.3%

Sakura Hosogi
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Preview

Kaji is ranked WTA: 260. Hosogi is ranked WTA: 343.

Kaji is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hosogi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kaji may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kaji is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kaji won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Haruka Kaji - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 57.89%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Sakura Hosogi - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.11%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haruka Kaji
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Haruka Kaji - Taylah Preston	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.07.26	Julieta Pareja - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
14.07.26	Lea Ma - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Julieta Pareja - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Christasha McNeil - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
12.08.26	Sakura Hosogi - Lea Boskovic	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Sara Saito - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Ena Koike	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Sakura Hosogi - Alexandra Vagramov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Haruka Kaji - Sakura Hosogi	2:0
14.11.22	Haruka Kaji - Sakura Hosogi	0:2

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