Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 10 (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 19 October 2023, Thursday


	Salvatore Caruso		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.78	1.9
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.88
	1.73	2
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.74	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.42)	1.93 ↓ (2.66)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
51.9%

Felix Gill
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salvatore Caruso's form might have worsened.

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Gill's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salvatore Caruso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felix Gill, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Caruso is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gill is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Caruso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caruso won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Denis Constantin Spiridon	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Rottoli	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Marcello Serafini - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
13.10.23	Salvatore Caruso - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
12.10.23	Max Houkes - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW
- Felix Gill
ITF Tournaments
18.10.23	Felix Gill - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
16.10.23	Felix Gill - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Julio Cesar Porras - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Felix Gill - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
06.10.23	Felix Gill - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Salvatore Caruso - Felix Gill: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide