Match Info

Date: 3 March 2020, Tuesday


	Salvatore Caruso		Thai-Son Kwiatkowski

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.44
	2.63	1.46	Watch
	2.55	1.43
	2.69	1.48
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.78	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.27)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
35.7%

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Salvatore Caruso's form might have worsened.

Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thai-Son Kwiatkowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.1%	0%	45.9%

Salvatore Caruso - Thai Son Kwiatkowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 20 - 54.1%). Kwiatkowski will win (votes: 17 - 45.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Caruso: 38% – 70.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Santiago
26.02.20	Federico Delbonis - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
25.02.20	Jozef Kovalik - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
18.02.20	Jaume Munar - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.20	Salvatore Caruso - Pedro Sousa	0:2 ✺
ATP Pune
05.02.20	Salvatore Caruso - Jiri Vesely	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
ATP Challenger
02.03.20	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Hyeon Chung	2:0 ✺
26.02.20	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
02.02.20	Daniel Elahi Galan - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	0:2 ✺
01.02.20	Steve Johnson - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	1:2 ✺
31.01.20	Thai-Son Kwiatkowski - Denis Istomin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLWWW

Salvatore Caruso - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide