Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Funchal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Samira De Stefano		Ella McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.98	1.76
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.98	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.73)	1.77 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samira De Stefano
47.5%

Ella McDonald
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samira De Stefano's form might have worsened.

Ella McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ella McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samira De Stefano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ella McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samira De Stefano - Ella McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Stefano is ranked WTA: 367. McDonald is ranked WTA: 528.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

McDonald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samira De Stefano
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Samira De Stefano - Angela Fita Boluda	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Samira De Stefano - Milla Sequeira	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Samira De Stefano - Silvia Ambrosio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.10.25	Julie Struplova - Samira De Stefano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL
- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
29.10.25	Ella McDonald - Amarni Banks	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Ella McDonald - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Ivana Sebestova - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Ella McDonald - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Kristina Liutova - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWWL

Samira De Stefano - Ella McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide