Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Wrexham, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Ella McDonald		Elena Malygina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.9	1.86
	4.23	1.18	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.83)	1.69 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ella McDonald
40.7%

Elena Malygina
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ella McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ella McDonald's form might have worsened.

Elena Malygina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elena Malygina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ella McDonald than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ella McDonald, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Malygina than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Elena Malygina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ella McDonald - Elena Malygina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malygina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked WTA: 559. Malygina is ranked WTA: 581.

McDonald is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Malygina has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Malygina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, McDonald won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Ella McDonald - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Elena Malygina - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ella McDonald
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Ivana Sebestova - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Ella McDonald - Alicia Dudeney	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Kristina Liutova - Ella McDonald	2:0 ✺
16.10.25	Luciana Perry - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Brandy Walker - Ella McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW
- Elena Malygina
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Elena Malygina - Katarina Kuzmova	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Freya Christie - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Mika Stojsavljevic - Elena Malygina	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Sofya Lansere - Elena Malygina	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Elena Malygina - Julia Adams	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.01.22	Ella McDonald - Elena Malygina	0:2

Ella McDonald - Elena Malygina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide