Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri		Nikoloz Basilashvili

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	1.95	1.78
	2.02	1.82
	2.02	1.83
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	1.97	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.15)	1.78 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
47.3%

Nikoloz Basilashvili
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Vincent Ruggeri than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuel Vincent Ruggeri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nikoloz Basilashvili could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Nikoloz Basilashvili Predictions

Users Predictions: Nikoloz Basilashvili will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Basilashvili could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuel Vincent Ruggeri
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Matteo Gigante - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
27.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Enrico Dalla Valle	2:0 ✺
25.03.24	Edoardo Lavagno - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Lavagno E. retired ✺
24.03.24	Jacopo Berrettini - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	0:2 ✺
20.03.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Richard Gasquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LW?WL
- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Challenger
29.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Corentin Moutet	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Aziz Dougaz	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
22.03.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLWW

Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Nikoloz Basilashvili: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide