Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Antalya 5, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Samuele Pieri		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.22	1.56	Watch
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.31	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.57)	1.57 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
40.9%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Samuele Pieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandr Ovcharenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Samuele Pieri - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 690. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 500.

Now, both players are in good form.

Pieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ovcharenko could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Ovcharenko will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pieri won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Samuele Pieri - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.07%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Samuele Pieri - Ali Yazdani	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Kirill Kivattsev - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
15.11.25	Samuele Pieri - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
14.11.25	Ali Yazdani - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
12.11.25	Samuele Pieri - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWW
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	Justin Schlageter - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Mak Mikovic - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Samuele Pieri - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Vardan Manukyan	2:0 ✺
06.11.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Nikola Slavic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.11.25	Samuele Pieri - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0

Samuele Pieri - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide