Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor, clay - Final

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Samuele Pieri		Sebastian Dominko

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.75
	1.85	1.85
	2.1	1.75
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	2.07	1.73
	1.87	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.58)	1.76 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
47.8%

Sebastian Dominko
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samuele Pieri's form might have worsened.

Sebastian Dominko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Dominko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samuele Pieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Dominko than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Dominko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Dominko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 393. Dominko is ranked ATP: 1082.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Andrea de Marchi	2:0 ✺
27.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Nicolo Toffanin	2:0 ✺
25.08.26	Samuele Pieri - Theodore Dean	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Jonas Gundacker - Samuele Pieri	Interrupted ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWW?
- Sebastian Dominko
ITF Tournaments
29.08.26	Filip Jeff Planinsek - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Sebastian Dominko - Dimitar Kuzmanov	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Stefan Popovic - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Sebastian Dominko - Matic Dimic	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Sebastian Dominko - Sebastian Sorger	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Samuele Pieri - Sebastian Dominko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide