Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna		Bastian Malla

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.61	2.18
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.62)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
57.4%

Bastian Malla
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Bastian Malla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastian Malla than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bastian Malla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Bastian Malla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodriguez Taverna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 237. Malla is ranked ATP: 1322.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Malla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodriguez Taverna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nicolas Zanellato	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Tomas Martinez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.02.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Stefan Palosi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Bastian Malla
ITF Tournaments
06.03.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Bastian Malla	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Bastian Malla - Lucio Ratti	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Bastian Malla - Nikos Lehmann	2:0 ✺
21.01.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Bastian Malla	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Bastian Malla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWLL

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Bastian Malla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide