Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Sara Bejlek		Nuria Brancaccio

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.32	3.14	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.53)	3.04 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Bejlek
69.2%

Nuria Brancaccio
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Bejlek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sara Bejlek's performance.

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuria Brancaccio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Bejlek than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sara Bejlek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuria Brancaccio than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuria Brancaccio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bejlek is ranked WTA: 113. Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 178.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bejlek could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bejlek won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Bejlek
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Anouk Koevermans - Sara Bejlek	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Nastasja Mariana Schunk - Sara Bejlek	0:2 ✺
01.09.25	Sara Bejlek - Dominika Salkova	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Sara Bejlek - Destanee Aiava	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.07.25	Sara Bejlek - Gloria Ceschi	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLL?
- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
11.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Ekaterine Gorgodze	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Darya Astakhova	1:2 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Priscilla Hon	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.25	Nuria Brancaccio - Veronika Erjavec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.04.22	Sara Bejlek - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0

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