Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	SportKlub
Brazil	12:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	17:00	SportKlub
Denmark	17:00	TV2 Sport X
France	17:00	beIN Sports
Germany	17:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	18:00	Nova Sports
Poland	17:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	18:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	17:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	17:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	18:00	Setanta Sports


	Sara Errani		Caroline Wozniacki

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.27	1.38
	3.27	1.38
	3.6	1.29
	3.19	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (3.08)	1.35 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Errani
29.3%

Caroline Wozniacki
70.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Caroline Wozniacki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caroline Wozniacki than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Sara Errani - Caroline Wozniacki Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Errani will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Wozniacki will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wozniacki: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Errani is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Wozniacki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Errani could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Wozniacki is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Errani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Errani
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Leyre Romero Gormaz - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
22.04.24	Julia Riera - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Jasmine Paolini - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWW
- Caroline Wozniacki
WTA Charleston
03.04.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Anhelina Kalinina	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Caroline Wozniacki - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
21.03.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Caroline Wozniacki	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Clara Burel - Caroline Wozniacki	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
14.03.24	Iga Swiatek - Caroline Wozniacki	Swiatek I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Istanbul
26.04.18	Caroline Wozniacki - Sara Errani	2:1
WTA US Open
02.09.14	Caroline Wozniacki - Sara Errani	2:0

Sara Errani - Caroline Wozniacki