Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: French Open (France) - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Sara Saito		Francisca Jorge

	1	2
	2.25	1.57
	2.3	1.57
			Watch
	2.45	1.56
	2.45	1.56
	2.2	1.62
	2.35	1.58	Watch
	2.33	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (1.93)	1.57 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Saito
40.3%

Francisca Jorge
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Saito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sara Saito's form might have worsened.

Francisca Jorge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisca Jorge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Saito than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sara Saito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisca Jorge than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francisca Jorge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Sara Saito - Francisca Jorge Predictions

Users Predictions: Francisca Jorge will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Jorge could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jorge will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Saito
ITF Tournaments
02.05.24	Arianne Hartono - Sara Saito	2:0 ✺
01.05.24	Sara Saito - Emina Bektas	2:0 ✺
30.04.24	Sara Saito - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Sara Saito - Moyuka Uchijima	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Ya-Hsuan Lee - Sara Saito	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL
- Francisca Jorge
ITF Tournaments
14.05.24	Anna Bondar - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
24.04.24	Gabriela Knutson - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Bernarda Pera - Francisca Jorge	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Francisca Jorge - Renata Zarazua	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWLW

Sara Saito - Francisca Jorge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide