Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Quito, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday


	Sara Sorribes Tormo		Polona Hercog

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.06
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sara Sorribes Tormo
55.6%

Polona Hercog
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sara Sorribes Tormo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Polona Hercog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sara Sorribes Tormo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Sara Sorribes Tormo - Polona Hercog Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Sorribes Tormo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sara Sorribes Tormo will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sorribes Tormo is ranked WTA: 311. Hercog is ranked WTA: 672.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sorribes Tormo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Sara Sorribes Tormo - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.7%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sara Sorribes Tormo
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Panna Udvardy	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Alicia Herrero Linana	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Nicole Fossa Huergo - Sara Sorribes Tormo	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Laura Samsonova - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Gabriela Ce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW
- Polona Hercog
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Polona Hercog - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Polona Hercog - Oleksandra Oliynykova	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Panna Udvardy - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Jasmin Ortenzi - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Valeriya Strakhova - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW

Sara Sorribes Tormo - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide