Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Sebastian Baez		Roman Andres Burruchaga

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.7	2.1
	1.69	2.38
	1.7	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.74	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.6)	2.18 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
56.2%

Roman Andres Burruchaga
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	0%	29.4%

Sebastian Baez - Roman Andres Burruchaga Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 65. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 56.

Baez has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Burruchaga's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Roman Andres Burruchaga - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.33%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Jenson Brooksby - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLW
- Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Hamburg
19.05.26	Luciano Darderi - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Pierre Delage - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Sebastian Baez - Roman Andres Burruchaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide