Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: LYON (FRANCE), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 25 May 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sebastian Baez		Cameron Norrie

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48
	2.65	1.48
	2.68	1.48
	2.84	1.49
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.91	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.28)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
35%

Cameron Norrie
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cameron Norrie's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cameron Norrie, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	0%	90.6%

Sebastian Baez - Cameron Norrie Predictions

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Baez is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Norrie is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Norrie could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Norrie will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Baez won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Lyon
24.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Pedro Cachin	2:1 ✺
23.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
17.05.23	Sebastian Baez - Riccardo Bonadio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Cameron Norrie
ATP Lyon
24.05.23	David Goffin - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Novak Djokovic - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Marton Fucsovics - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Alexandre Muller - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
01.05.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Cameron Norrie	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Lyon
19.05.22	Cameron Norrie - Sebastian Baez	2:1

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