Match Info

Date: 1 February 2022, Tuesday


	Sebastian Baez		Fernando Verdasco

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.17	5.25
	1.17	4.6
	1.17	5.55
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.12	6.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	5.19 ↑ (3.07)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
81.6%

Fernando Verdasco
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Fernando Verdasco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fernando Verdasco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fernando Verdasco than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fernando Verdasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.3%	0%	31.7%

Sebastian Baez - Fernando Verdasco Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 28 - 68.3%). Verdasco will win (votes: 13 - 31.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 54.1% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Verdasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Australian Open
19.01.22	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:3 ✺
18.01.22	Sebastian Baez - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	3:2 ✺
ATP Sydney
11.01.22	Sebastian Baez - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
10.01.22	Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
09.01.22	Daniel Altmaier - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWLWW
- Fernando Verdasco
ATP Challenger
27.01.22	Fernando Verdasco - Pedro Cachin	0:2 ✺
26.01.22	Fernando Verdasco - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
25.01.22	Fernando Verdasco - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
13.01.22	Fernando Verdasco - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
12.01.22	Fernando Verdasco - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWLW

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