Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Sebastian Baez		Albert Ramos-Vinolas

	1	2
	1.61	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.68	2.18
	1.63	2.19
	1.69	2.31
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
57.8%

Albert Ramos-Vinolas
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Albert Ramos-Vinolas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albert Ramos-Vinolas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albert Ramos-Vinolas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Sebastian Baez - Albert Ramos Vinolas Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 12 - 33.3%). Ramos-Vinolas will win (votes: 24 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ramos-Vinolas: 51.3% – 82.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Baez won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Estoril
29.04.22	Richard Gasquet - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
28.04.22	Sebastian Baez - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Joao Sousa - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.22	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLL
- Albert Ramos-Vinolas
ATP Estoril
29.04.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Fernando Verdasco	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Soon Woo Kwon	2:1 ✺
26.04.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Jordan Thompson	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
20.04.22	Lloyd Harris - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
18.04.22	Adrian Mannarino - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
26.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1
ATP Australian Open
18.01.22	Sebastian Baez - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	3:2

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