Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: BASEL (SWITZERLAND) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:40	SportKlub
Croatia	13:40	SportKlub
Serbia	13:40	SportKlub
Slovenia	13:40	SportKlub


	Christopher OConnell		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.58	2.35	Watch
	1.61	2.45
	1.61	2.45
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.64	2.26	Watch
	1.7	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	2.3 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
58.4%

Sebastian Baez
41.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Christopher OConnell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Baez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	0%	17.1%

Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Christopher OConnell will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches OConnell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Basel
22.10.23	Christopher OConnell - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	Christopher OConnell - Maxime Cressy	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
15.10.23	Sebastian Ofner - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
ATP Chengdu
24.09.23	Grigor Dimitrov - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLLL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Stockholm
17.10.23	Sebastian Baez - Jeffrey John Wolf	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.23	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
06.10.23	Dane Sweeny - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
17.09.23	Sebastian Baez - Vilius Gaubas	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sydney
10.01.22	Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez	1:2

Christopher OConnell - Sebastian Baez