Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Sebastian Baez		Hugo Dellien

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.96
	1.27	3.68	Watch
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.27	3.54	Watch
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.43)	3.57 ↑ (2.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
73.6%

Hugo Dellien
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.

Hugo Dellien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Dellien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Baez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Dellien than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Dellien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Sebastian Baez - Hugo Dellien Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oral Roberts won 3.

Oral Roberts is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches South Dakota is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

South Dakota could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Oral Roberts won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1551:1501 (average 77.6:75.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Oral Roberts won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 758:681 (average 84.2:75.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Sebastian Baez - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Cazaux	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL
- Hugo Dellien
ATP Challenger
07.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Hugo Dellien	1:2 ✺
06.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
04.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Chun Hsin Tseng	Tseng C. H. retired ✺
02.02.25	Hugo Dellien - Facundo Mena	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
09.02.24	Hugo Dellien - Sebastian Baez	1:2
11.02.23	Hugo Dellien - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Challenger
19.02.21	Sebastian Baez - Hugo Dellien	2:0

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