Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rosario (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Sebastian Baez		Emilio Nava

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.4	2.7
	1.38	2.85	Watch
	1.46	2.78
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.38	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.25)	2.8 ↓ (3.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
66.5%

Emilio Nava
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.

Emilio Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emilio Nava's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Sebastian Baez - Emilio Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Nava will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nava: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 31. Nava is ranked ATP: 215.

Recent matches Nava is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Baez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Cazaux	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
28.10.24	Sebastian Baez - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.24	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLL?L
- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
03.02.25	Emilio Nava - Alex Barrena	Barrena A. retired ✺
02.02.25	Emilio Nava - Mateo Del Pino	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Emilio Nava - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
25.01.25	Emilio Nava - Daniel Elahi Galan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLWL

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