The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sebastian Baez 52.8%
Roberto Quiroz 47.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.8%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Baez's form might have worsened.
Roberto Quiroz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Quiroz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Baez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Quiroz than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Quiroz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.5%
0%
93.5%
Sebastian Baez - Roberto Quiroz Predictions
Users Predictions:
155 users predict this event. Baez will win (votes: 10 - 6.5%). Quiroz will win (votes: 145 - 93.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Quiroz: 89.6% – 97.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
Recent matches Baez is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Quiroz is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Quiroz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Watch
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