Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sioux Falls 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Sebastian Dominko		Karl Poling

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Sebastian Dominko
67.1%

Karl Poling
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Dominko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Karl Poling has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Dominko than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Dominko is ranked ATP: 554., and Poling is ranked ATP: 453..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Dominko could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Dominko is considered the favorite to take the win.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Dominko
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Benjamin Willwerth	2:0 ✺
25.10.26	Justin Boulais - Sebastian Dominko	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Sebastian Dominko - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Stepan Baum - Sebastian Dominko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Karl Poling - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
25.10.26	Karl Poling - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Karl Poling - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Aidan McHugh - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Dominko
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Sebastian Dominko - Valentin Royer	✺

Sebastian Dominko - Karl Poling