Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 26 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sioux Falls 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Karl Poling		Patrick Zahraj

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.07	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.82
	2.01	1.7	Watch
	2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karl Poling
45.8%

Patrick Zahraj
54.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karl Poling has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karl Poling than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karl Poling, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Patrick Zahraj, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karl Poling - Patrick Zahraj Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Poling is ranked ATP: 452., and Zahraj is ranked ATP: 524..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Poling could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Poling has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Karl Poling - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 49.81%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Patrick Zahraj - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.19%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karl Poling
ATP Challenger
25.10.26	Karl Poling - Maxwell Exsted	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Karl Poling - Alex Rybakov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.10.26	Iker Urribarrens Ramirez - Karl Poling	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Aidan McHugh - Karl Poling	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLWL
- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
25.10.26	Govind Nanda - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
19.10.26	Kaylan Bigun - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Shunsuke Mitsui - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Alexandre Reco - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:1
22.03.26	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0
11.11.24	Patrick Zahraj - Karl Poling	2:0

Karl Poling - Patrick Zahraj: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide