Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 TAVIRA 2 (PORTUGAL), HARD - FINAL

Date: 23 October 2023, Monday


	Sebastian Fanselow		Henrique Rocha

	1	2
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.6
	2.23	1.63
	2.23	1.63
	2.1	1.67
	2.17	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.41)	1.63 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Fanselow
42.9%

Henrique Rocha
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Fanselow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Fanselow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Henrique Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Fanselow is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rocha in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Fanselow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rocha will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rocha to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fanselow won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Fanselow
ITF Tournaments
21.10.23	Martin Landaluce - Sebastian Fanselow	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Twan van Zijl	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Tiago Pereira	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Aleksandr Braynin - Sebastian Fanselow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLW
- Henrique Rocha
ITF Tournaments
21.10.23	Henrique Rocha - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
20.10.23	Andrea Guerrieri - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
20.10.23	Leopold Zima - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
18.10.23	David Pichler - Henrique Rocha	1:2 ✺
15.10.23	Valentin Royer - Henrique Rocha	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.10.23	Sebastian Fanselow - Henrique Rocha	0:2
17.09.23	Henrique Rocha - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0

Sebastian Fanselow - Henrique Rocha: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide