Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Sebastian Gima		Aristotelis Thanos

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.25	1.55	Watch
	2.71	1.46
	4.87	1.16	Watch
			Watch
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	2	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2)	1.5 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
34.6%

Aristotelis Thanos
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Aristotelis Thanos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aristotelis Thanos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aristotelis Thanos than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aristotelis Thanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Sebastian Gima - Aristotelis Thanos Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Gima will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Gima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 573. Thanos is ranked ATP: 463.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Mariano Kestelboim - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Sebastian Gima - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Picchione	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- Aristotelis Thanos
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Nicolas Hurtado Novoa - Aristotelis Thanos	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
30.09.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Franco Roncadelli - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.11.20	Sebastian Gima - Aristotelis Thanos	2:0

Sebastian Gima - Aristotelis Thanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide