Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday


	Sebastian Gima		Florian Broska

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.3	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.55
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.36	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.85)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
40.3%

Florian Broska
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Florian Broska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florian Broska's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florian Broska than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florian Broska, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 660. Broska is ranked ATP: 484.

In recent matches, Gima has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Broska is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Broska may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
28.07.25	Oleg Prihodko - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
27.07.25	Thomas Faurel - Sebastian Gima	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Ilya Snitari - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Sebastian Gima - Jeremy Gschwendtner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLL
- Florian Broska
ATP Challenger
28.07.25	Olle Wallin - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Vladyslav Orlov - Florian Broska	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Daniel Siniakov - Florian Broska	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Mateus Alves - Florian Broska	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Florian Broska - Filip Jeff Planinsek	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL

Sebastian Gima - Florian Broska: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide