Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Adrian Mannarino		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.63
	1.54	2.67
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.47	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.43)	2.63 ↓ (2.82)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
63.7%

Jurij Rodionov
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Adrian Mannarino - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Rodionov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mannarino will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mannarino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
28.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.23	Adrian Mannarino - Francis Tiafoe	1:3 ✺
30.08.23	Adrian Mannarino - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Astana
29.09.23	Jurij Rodionov - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Gregoire Barrere - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
27.09.23	Jose-Rubin Statham - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Evgeny Donskoy - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.01.19	Adrian Mannarino - Jurij Rodionov	1:2

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