The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sebastian Ofner 39.4%
Reilly Opelka 60.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.7%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.
Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Reilly Opelka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+23.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Ofner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-23.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.1%
0%
75.9%
Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Ofner will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Opelka will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Opelka: 60.3% – 91.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Reilly Opelka will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Ofner is ranked ATP: 138.Opelka is ranked ATP: 74.
Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
Ofner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Opelka could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ofner won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.