Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Sebastian Sorger		Gabriele Piraino

	1	2
	2.29	1.57
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.33	1.55	Watch
	3.23	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.23)	1.5 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Sorger
37%

Gabriele Piraino
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Sorger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Sorger's performance.

Gabriele Piraino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Piraino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Sorger than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Sorger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Piraino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sebastian Sorger - Gabriele Piraino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sorger is ranked ATP: 603. Piraino is ranked ATP: 360.

Sorger has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Piraino is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Piraino is considered a favorite.

We predict that Piraino will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Sorger
ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Sebastian Sorger - Daniele Rapagnetta	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Sebastian Sorger	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Sebastian Sorger - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Sebastian Sorger - Jerome Kym	Canceled ✺
31.08.25	Dennis Novak - Sebastian Sorger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLW?L
- Gabriele Piraino
ITF Tournaments
30.09.25	Mika Petkovic - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Dennis Novak	Piraino G. retired ✺
14.09.25	Gabriele Piraino - Gregor Ramskogler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLW?W

Sebastian Sorger - Gabriele Piraino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide