Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Busan (South Korea), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Ignatchenko Y. (Kaz)


	Seong Chan Hong		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.15	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.69
	2.21	1.69
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.21	1.63	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.62)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seong Chan Hong
42.7%

Otto Virtanen
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seong Chan Hong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seong Chan Hong's performance.

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otto Virtanen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seong Chan Hong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Otto Virtanen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Seong Chan Hong - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Hong will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Virtanen will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hong is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Virtanen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Virtanen to win the game is with odds 1.65.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
11.03.24	David Goffin - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Jakub Mensik - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Sumit Nagal - Seong Chan Hong	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Seong Chan Hong - Tristan Boyer	1:2 ✺
20.02.24	Seong Chan Hong - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLL
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Miami
19.03.24	Otto Virtanen - Roberto Bautista-Agut	1:2 ✺
18.03.24	Jurij Rodionov - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.24	Daniel Masur - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Rudolf Molleker - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWW

Seong Chan Hong - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide