The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Otto Virtanen 38.2%
Roberto Bautista-Agut 61.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Otto Virtanen's form might have worsened.
Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Bautista-Agut's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Otto Virtanen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
59.4%
0%
40.6%
Otto Virtanen - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 19 - 59.4%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 13 - 40.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Virtanen: 42.4% – 76.4%.
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Preview
Virtanen in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Bautista-Agut is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Our prediction for today's Virtanen to win the game is with odds 2.12.