Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Astana, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Sergey Fomin		Kasidit Samrej

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.61
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.53	2.34	Watch
	1.51	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	2.38 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergey Fomin
60.7%

Kasidit Samrej
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kasidit Samrej has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasidit Samrej than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Sergey Fomin - Kasidit Samrej Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fomin will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Samrej will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fomin is ranked ATP: 305. Samrej is ranked ATP: 406.

Fomin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Samrej has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Samrej may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fomin might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergey Fomin - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.46%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Kasidit Samrej - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergey Fomin
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Sergey Fomin - Maxim Zhukov	Zhukov M. Retired ✺
26.07.26	Sergey Fomin - Giuseppe La Vela	1:2 ✺
21.07.26	Yanki Erel - Sergey Fomin	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Sergey Fomin - Manas Manoj Dhamne	1:2 ✺
29.06.26	Sergey Fomin - Olle Wallin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 ?LLLL
- Kasidit Samrej
ATP Challenger
11.08.26	Kasidit Samrej - Kokoro Isomura	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.08.26	Kasidit Samrej - Egor Pleshivtsev	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Grigory Shebekin - Kasidit Samrej	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Riku Takahata - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Makoto Ochi - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLWL

Sergey Fomin - Kasidit Samrej: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide