Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Menorca, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Sergio Callejon Hernando		Andrew Paulson

	1	2
	2.63	1.44
	2.31	1.55
	2.25	1.68
	2.24	1.57	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.13	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.62)	1.6 ↓ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando
41.5%

Andrew Paulson
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sergio Callejon Hernando's form might have worsened.

Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrew Paulson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sergio Callejon Hernando, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrew Paulson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Sergio Callejon Hernando - Andrew Paulson Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Callejon Hernando will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Paulson will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Callejon Hernando: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 512. Paulson is ranked ATP: 642.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergio Callejon Hernando - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.09%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Zdenek Kolar - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Denis Yevseyev - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Joan Nadal - Sergio Callejon Hernando	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.03.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Max Schoenhaus	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Peter Makk - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLL
- Andrew Paulson
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Fabrizio Andaloro - Andrew Paulson	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Andrew Paulson - Samuele Pieri	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Andrew Paulson - Rudolf Molleker	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Andrew Paulson - Michael Vrbensky	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLL

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