Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Vale do Lobo 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 November 2025, Tuesday


	Sergio Callejon Hernando		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.15
	1.60	2.17	Watch
	1.64	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.83)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando
57%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Callejon Hernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sergio Callejon Hernando's performance.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sergio Callejon Hernando that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sergio Callejon Hernando - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 565. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 592.

Recent performances by Callejon Hernando have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gonzalez Fernandez is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sergio Callejon Hernando - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Remy Bertola - Sergio Callejon Hernando	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
27.10.25	Dali Blanch - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWWWL
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
31.10.25	Ryan Nijboer - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
30.10.25	Tomas Curras Abasolo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Gastao Elias - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Max Basing - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Johan Nikles - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Upcoming Matches