Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monastir, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday


	Sergio Callejon Hernando		Gauthier Onclin

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.16	1.31	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.96)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergio Callejon Hernando
28.7%

Gauthier Onclin
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergio Callejon Hernando has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Gauthier Onclin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergio Callejon Hernando than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gauthier Onclin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Sergio Callejon Hernando - Gauthier Onclin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Callejon Hernando is ranked ATP: 591. Onclin is ranked ATP: 219.

Callejon Hernando has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Onclin's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Onclin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Onclin is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sergio Callejon Hernando
ATP Challenger
27.10.25	Dali Blanch - Sergio Callejon Hernando	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Olaf Pieczkowski	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW
- Gauthier Onclin
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Henri Squire - Gauthier Onclin	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Gauthier Onclin - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
30.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	James Duckworth - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.09.25	Gauthier Onclin - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL

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