Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Shintaro Imai		Naoki Nakagawa

	1	2
	1.70	2.00
	1.82	1.88
	1.76	2.09
	1.61	1.84	Watch
	1.74	2.06
	1.7	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)	1.98 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Imai
53.5%

Naoki Nakagawa
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Imai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Naoki Nakagawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Imai than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Imai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Naoki Nakagawa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Shintaro Imai - Naoki Nakagawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Imai will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Imai is ranked ATP: 801. Nakagawa is ranked ATP: 774.

Imai is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Nakagawa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Imai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Shintaro Imai - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Naoki Nakagawa - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Imai
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Kokoro Isomura - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
07.07.26	Taki Adachi - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Shintaro Imai - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Hikaru Shiraishi - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Shintaro Imai - Yuki Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Naoki Nakagawa
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Naoya Honda - Naoki Nakagawa	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Sanhui Shin	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Ryota Tanuma	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Naoki Nakagawa - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Renta Tokuda - Naoki Nakagawa	Tokuda R. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLL?

Shintaro Imai - Naoki Nakagawa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide