Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PRAGUE 2 (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 12 May 2023, Friday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	2.04
	1.75	2.19
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.69	2.11	Watch
	1.66	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)	2.11 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
55.4%

Alejandro Moro Canas
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Moro Canas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Moro Canas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mochizuki won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
11.05.23	Norbert Gombos - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
09.05.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Michael Vrbensky	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Zdenek Kolar	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
11.05.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Zachary Svajda	2:1 ✺
09.05.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Billy Harris	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Jiri Barnat - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
23.04.23	Alejandro Moro Canas - Gerald Melzer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.02.22	Alejandro Moro Canas - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1

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