Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OSTRAVA (CZECH REPUBLIC), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Zdenek Kolar

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.8
	1.97	1.82
	2.08	1.83
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.95	1.81	Watch
	1.94	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.75)	1.84 ↓ (2.08)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
48.7%

Zdenek Kolar
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Zdenek Kolar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zdenek Kolar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zdenek Kolar than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zdenek Kolar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Zdenek Kolar Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kolar will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kolar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
28.04.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Jakub Mensik - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Guido Andreozzi - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.23	Marko Topo - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.04.23	Zsombor Piros - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWLL
- Zdenek Kolar
ATP Challenger
28.04.23	Zdenek Kolar - Gauthier Onclin	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Vit Kopriva - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Miljan Zekic - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.23	Zdenek Kolar - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Zdenek Kolar - Viktor Durasovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW

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