Match Info

Date: 15 April 2021, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Arthur Fils

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.49
	1.45	2.63
	1.5	2.5
	1.41	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.83)	2.61 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
64.4%

Arthur Fils
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Fils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Fils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One and the other player has got a line of lost games.

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fils will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
14.04.21	Corentin Denolly - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
09.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
08.04.21	Ben Patael - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Karl Friberg	2:0 ✺
31.03.21	Jiri Lehecka - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWL
- Arthur Fils
ITF Tournaments
14.04.21	Alvaro Lopez San Martin - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Pedro Cachin - Arthur Fils	2:0
21.03.21	Arthur Fils - Raul Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
19.03.21	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
17.03.21	Arthur Fils - Pablo Vivero Gonzalez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Arthur Fils - Pavel Kotov	✺

Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Fils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide