Match Info

Date: 23 April 2021, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Daniel Michalski

	1	2
	1.7	2
	1.7	2.08
	1.69	1.97
	1.71	2.06
	1.73	2
	1.72	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.99)	2.04 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
54.4%

Daniel Michalski
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shintaro Mochizuki's performance.

Daniel Michalski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Michalski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shintaro Mochizuki that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Michalski than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Michalski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Michalski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ITF Tournaments
22.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Carlos Lopez Montagud	Lopez Montagud C. retired ✺
21.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Juan Ignacio Alcalde	2:0 ✺
17.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
16.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Johan Nikles	2:1 ✺
15.04.21	Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 ?WLWW
- Daniel Michalski
ITF Tournaments
22.04.21	Francesco Passaro - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Luca Giacomini - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
17.04.21	Giacomo Dambrosi - Daniel Michalski	2:1 ✺
16.04.21	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Daniel Michalski	1:2 ✺
15.04.21	Simone Roncalli - Daniel Michalski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Michalski

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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