Match Info

Date: 13 October 2022, Thursday


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.22
	4.1	1.23
	3.8	1.21
	4.2	1.24
	4	1.22
	3.98	1.23	Watch
	3.95	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.15)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
23.5%

Kamil Majchrzak
76.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shintaro Mochizuki's form might have worsened.

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kamil Majchrzak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kamil Majchrzak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Majchrzak will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Majchrzak: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mochizuki is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Majchrzak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mochizuki could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Majchrzak is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
12.10.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Emilio Gomez - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Skander Mansouri - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
02.10.22	Brandon Nakashima - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Challenger
12.10.22	John Millman - Kamil Majchrzak	1:2 ✺
11.10.22	Jay Clarke - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.22	Nick Kyrgios - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
04.10.22	Sho Shimabukuro - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Sofia
30.09.22	Kamil Majchrzak - Marc-Andrea Huesler	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Shintaro Mochizuki - Kamil Majchrzak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide