Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Birmingham, grass - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 June 2026, Friday


	Sho Shimabukuro		Kamil Majchrzak

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.45	1.49
	2.53	1.6
	3.53	1.28	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.45	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.43)	1.49 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sho Shimabukuro
36.4%

Kamil Majchrzak
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sho Shimabukuro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kamil Majchrzak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kamil Majchrzak than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Sho Shimabukuro - Kamil Majchrzak Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Shimabukuro (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 103. Majchrzak is ranked ATP: 78.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shimabukuro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Majchrzak will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimabukuro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Felix Gill - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	James McCabe - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.05.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
09.06.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Sho Shimabukuro - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2

Sho Shimabukuro - Kamil Majchrzak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide