Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Francavilla (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Stellabotte N. (Ita)


	Shintaro Mochizuki		Ryan Nijboer

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.69
	1.49	2.69
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.43	2.73	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	2.66 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shintaro Mochizuki
64.8%

Ryan Nijboer
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shintaro Mochizuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki - Ryan Nijboer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mochizuki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Nijboer will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Mochizuki is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nijboer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mochizuki could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mochizuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
02.05.24	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
01.05.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Altmaier	2:1 ✺
30.04.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
29.04.24	Shintaro Mochizuki - Francesco Ferrari	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.24	Benjamin Hassan - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWWL
- Ryan Nijboer
ATP Challenger
06.05.24	Gabriel Debru - Ryan Nijboer	1:2 ✺
05.05.24	Ryan Nijboer - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
25.04.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - Ryan Nijboer	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Ryan Nijboer - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
22.04.24	Gabriel Debru - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWLWW

Shintaro Mochizuki - Ryan Nijboer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide